Season Preview: Dallas Stars
Updated: Oct 4, 2022
Conference: Western
Division: Central
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Offseason
Additions: Mason Marchment, Colin Miller, Will Butcher
Subtractions: John Klingberg, Alex Radulov, Braden Holtby, Vladislav Namestnikov, Andrej Sekera, Blake Comeau
Mason Marchment's development from an NHL tweener to a player with elite impacts last season was unexpected, and it will be interesting to see if he can repeat it with the Stars. Losing Klingberg really just means more powerplay opportunity for star defenseman Miro Heiskanen, as Miller should be able to fill the even-strength role just fine.
Injury Report
Probable For Opener: -None-
Questionable For Opener: -None-
Out To Begin Season: -None-
Out For Season: -None-
The Dallas Stars expect to be fully healthy at the start of the season.
Projected Lineup
(league ranks in parentheses)
Forwards (16th)
Jason Robertson - Roope Hintz - Joe Pavelski
Mason Marchment - Jamie Benn - Tyler Seguin
Marian Studenic - Jacob Peterson - Denis Gurianov
Joel Kiviranta - Radek Faksa - Luke Glendening
Defense (21st)
Esa Lindell - Miro Heiskanen
Ryan Suter - Colin Miller
Joel Hanley - Jani Hakanpaa
Goalies (18th)
Jake Oettinger
Scott Wedgewood
One of the league's best lines returns in Robertson-Hintz-Pavelski. The key up front is if Marchment can help revitalize the once great Benn-Seguin combination. On defense, expect huge minutes this season for Heiskanen, with some concerns about puck movement and first passes from the rest of the blueline.
Oettinger stepped up as one of the better goalies in the league last season. His backup, Wedgewood, also put up impressive numbers. If the can sustain that success, this goaltending duo will outplay their ranking as 18th best in the league.
Dynamic Players
Snipers: Jason Robertson
Playmakers: Joe Pavelski | Mason Marchment
Volume Shooters: Roope Hintz | Jason Robertson | Mason Marchment
Play-Drivers: Roope Hintz | Jason Robertson | Mason Marchment
Shutdown Defenders: Mason Marchment
Shot Blockers: Esa Lindell | Jani Hakanpaa
Hitters: -None-
Enforcers: Jamie Benn
Penalty Drawers: Mason Marchment
PP Specialists: -None-
PK Specialists: -None-
Faceoff Specialists: Roope Hintz | Joe Pavelski | Tyler Seguin | Jamie Benn | Luke Glendening | Radek Faksa
Fantasy Impact
Studs: Roope Hintz, Jake Oettinger, Jason Robertson
Duds: Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn
Sleepers: Miro Heiskanen
Other Roster Worthy: Joe Pavelski
Grabbing one of, or stacking, the Robertson-Hintz-Pavelski line looks to be a fool-proof strategy, and Oettinger is a good goalie on a good defending team. Heiskanen could be a league winner this season if he shows he can be elite offensively in heavy minutes and usage.
The aging duo of Benn and Seguin are going to get drafted on name recognition alone, but the model does not like their chances of suddenly regaining their old form.
2022-2023 PuckLuck Projections | | | | | | | | |
PLAYER | POS | G | A | PTS | W | GA | SV | SO |
Roope Hintz | F | 42 | 43 | 85 | | | | |
Jake Oettinger | G | | | | 34 | 163 | 1720 | 5 |
Jason Robertson | F | 40 | 46 | 86 | | | | |
Joe Pavelski | F | 31 | 46 | 78 | | | | |
Miro Heiskanen | D | 11 | 38 | 49 | | | | |
Tyler Seguin | F | 21 | 28 | 49 | | | | |
Jamie Benn | F | 17 | 19 | 36 | | | | |
Betting Impact
PuckLuck Projection: 91 points
Floor: 77 points Ceiling: 104 points
Projection Data Confidence: 69%
(League Average: 70%)
PuckLuck Odds:
Stanley Cup: +3000
President's Trophy: +2500
Conference: +850
Division: +850
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines:
Stanley Cup: +4500
President's Trophy: +6500
Conference: +1900
Division: +1300
If you're feeling an uptick for the Stars, their ceiling of 104 points does provide an outside shot at winning the division. The problem is, the Colorado Avalanche also happen to be in said division. Even still, futures are all about the payout, and the one the sportsbooks are currently offering is not bad.
As far as day-to-day bets, the Stars are expected to be a team usually hitting the under, meaning a lot of 5.5 goal total sets for their games that potentially move to 5 based on the betting public. This screams fade opportunity, as over bets should carry plus-money payouts and may be worth the risk.
Season Outlook
Division Projection: 6th
Conference Projection: 11th
League Projection: 20th
Playoffs? In the hunt
Dallas is expected to be on the playoff bubble this season, just as they were last. Their competition within the division are the Blues, Predators, Wild, and Jets - all whom we have projected slightly higher. Unless they make some in-season transactions to improve the roster, they're going to need almost everything to click in order to make a run into April.
Will the Dallas Stars make the playoffs?
- Yes
- No