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Season Preview: Dallas Stars

Updated: Oct 4, 2022

Conference: Western

Division: Central



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Offseason



Additions: Mason Marchment, Colin Miller, Will Butcher

Subtractions: John Klingberg, Alex Radulov, Braden Holtby, Vladislav Namestnikov, Andrej Sekera, Blake Comeau


Mason Marchment's development from an NHL tweener to a player with elite impacts last season was unexpected, and it will be interesting to see if he can repeat it with the Stars. Losing Klingberg really just means more powerplay opportunity for star defenseman Miro Heiskanen, as Miller should be able to fill the even-strength role just fine.


 


Injury Report



Probable For Opener: -None-

Questionable For Opener: -None-

Out To Begin Season: -None-

Out For Season: -None-


The Dallas Stars expect to be fully healthy at the start of the season.


 

Projected Lineup

(league ranks in parentheses)



Forwards (16th)

Jason Robertson - Roope Hintz - Joe Pavelski

Mason Marchment - Jamie Benn - Tyler Seguin

Marian Studenic - Jacob Peterson - Denis Gurianov

Joel Kiviranta - Radek Faksa - Luke Glendening


Defense (21st)

Esa Lindell - Miro Heiskanen

Ryan Suter - Colin Miller

Joel Hanley - Jani Hakanpaa


Goalies (18th)

Jake Oettinger

Scott Wedgewood


One of the league's best lines returns in Robertson-Hintz-Pavelski. The key up front is if Marchment can help revitalize the once great Benn-Seguin combination. On defense, expect huge minutes this season for Heiskanen, with some concerns about puck movement and first passes from the rest of the blueline.


Oettinger stepped up as one of the better goalies in the league last season. His backup, Wedgewood, also put up impressive numbers. If the can sustain that success, this goaltending duo will outplay their ranking as 18th best in the league.


 


Dynamic Players


Snipers: Jason Robertson

Playmakers: Joe Pavelski | Mason Marchment

Volume Shooters: Roope Hintz | Jason Robertson | Mason Marchment

Play-Drivers: Roope Hintz | Jason Robertson | Mason Marchment

Shutdown Defenders: Mason Marchment

Shot Blockers: Esa Lindell | Jani Hakanpaa

Hitters: -None-

Enforcers: Jamie Benn

Penalty Drawers: Mason Marchment

PP Specialists: -None-

PK Specialists: -None-

Faceoff Specialists: Roope Hintz | Joe Pavelski | Tyler Seguin | Jamie Benn | Luke Glendening | Radek Faksa


 


Fantasy Impact


Studs: Roope Hintz, Jake Oettinger, Jason Robertson

Duds: Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn

Sleepers: Miro Heiskanen

Other Roster Worthy: Joe Pavelski


Grabbing one of, or stacking, the Robertson-Hintz-Pavelski line looks to be a fool-proof strategy, and Oettinger is a good goalie on a good defending team. Heiskanen could be a league winner this season if he shows he can be elite offensively in heavy minutes and usage.


The aging duo of Benn and Seguin are going to get drafted on name recognition alone, but the model does not like their chances of suddenly regaining their old form.

2022-2023 PuckLuck Projections

PLAYER

POS

G

A

PTS

W

GA

SV

SO

Roope Hintz

F

42

43

85

Jake Oettinger

G

34

163

1720

5

Jason Robertson

F

40

46

86

Joe Pavelski

F

31

46

78

Miro Heiskanen

D

11

38

49

Tyler Seguin

F

21

28

49

Jamie Benn

F

17

19

36


 


Betting Impact



PuckLuck Projection: 91 points

Floor: 77 points Ceiling: 104 points


Projection Data Confidence: 69%

(League Average: 70%)


PuckLuck Odds:

  • Stanley Cup: +3000

  • President's Trophy: +2500

  • Conference: +850

  • Division: +850

DraftKings Sportsbook Lines:

  • Stanley Cup: +4500

  • President's Trophy: +6500

  • Conference: +1900

  • Division: +1300

If you're feeling an uptick for the Stars, their ceiling of 104 points does provide an outside shot at winning the division. The problem is, the Colorado Avalanche also happen to be in said division. Even still, futures are all about the payout, and the one the sportsbooks are currently offering is not bad.


As far as day-to-day bets, the Stars are expected to be a team usually hitting the under, meaning a lot of 5.5 goal total sets for their games that potentially move to 5 based on the betting public. This screams fade opportunity, as over bets should carry plus-money payouts and may be worth the risk.


 


Season Outlook



Division Projection: 6th

Conference Projection: 11th

League Projection: 20th

Playoffs? In the hunt


Dallas is expected to be on the playoff bubble this season, just as they were last. Their competition within the division are the Blues, Predators, Wild, and Jets - all whom we have projected slightly higher. Unless they make some in-season transactions to improve the roster, they're going to need almost everything to click in order to make a run into April.


Will the Dallas Stars make the playoffs?

  • Yes

  • No




 


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