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Season Preview: Edmonton Oilers

Updated: Oct 4, 2022

Conference: Western

Division: Pacific



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Offseason



Additions: Jack Campbell, Mattias Janmark, Ryan Murray, Greg McKegg, Calvin Pickard

Subtractions: Duncan Keith, Zack Kassian, Mikko Koskinen, Kris Russell, Brendan Perlini, Colton Sceviour, Kyle Turris, William Lagesson, Derick Brassard, Josh Archibald


The clear upgrade needed in Edmonton this offseason was goaltending, and Campbell may be the answer if he can bounce back from a tough stretch last season and get back to his previous form. Seeing Keith retire was a blow, after the steadiness he brought to the backend last year. The Oilers will look to Murray and a combination of Brett Kulak and Slater Koekkoek to fill his shoes.


 


Injury Report



Probable For Opener: Darnell Nurse (Hip), Eyan Nugent-Hopkins (Shoulder), Jesse Puljujarvi (Shoulder), Kailer Yamamoto (Concussion), Calvin Pickard (Undisclosed)

Questionable For Opener: -None-

Out To Begin Season: -None-

Out For Season: Mike Smith (Undisclosed), Oscar Klefbom (Shoulder)


It's very possible we've seen the last of Smith and Klefbom for the rest of their careers, but that aside, the Oilers should be relatively healthy come the start of the season.


 

Projected Lineup

(league ranks in parentheses)



Forwards (8th)

Evander Kane - Connor McDavid - Leon Draisaitl

Zach Hyman - Ryan Nugent-Hopkins - Kailer Yamamoto

Mattias Janmark - Ryan McLeod - Jesse Puljujarvi

Warren Foegele - Derek Ryan - Devin Shore


Defense (13th)

Darnell Nurse - Cody Ceci

Ryan Murray - Evan Bouchard

Brett Kulak - Tyson Barrie


Goalies (23rd)

Jack Campbell

Stuart Skinner


McDavid and Draisaitl will see plenty of time apart from each other centering their own lines, but the the combination of the two plus Kane were so effective in the playoffs last season it's probably worth a look to keep them together to begin the season. Janmark adds much-needed depth to the forward group, and McLeod and Puljujarvi will be called upon at times to fill top-six roles.


The defense remains essentially intact - besides Keith - and Campbell brings certainty to the starter's role in net while Skinner gets his first real chance as the backup.


 


Dynamic Players


Snipers: -None-

Playmakers: Connor McDavid | Leon Draisaitl

Volume Shooters: Connor McDavid | Zach Hyman | Evander Kane | Jesse Puljujarvi

Play-Drivers: Connor McDavid | Jesse Puljujarvi

Shutdown Defenders: -None-

Shot Blockers: Ryan Murray

Hitters: -None-

Enforcers: -None-

Penalty Drawers: Connor McDavid

PP Specialists: Connor McDavid | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | Tyson Barrie

PK Specialists: -None-

Faceoff Specialists: Connor McDavid | Leon Draisaitl | Derek Ryan


 


Fantasy Impact


Studs: Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Evander Kane

Duds: Tyson Barrie

Sleepers: Zach Hyman

Other Roster Worthy: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Jack Campbell


McDavid and Draisaitl are sure-fire top-five picks in any redraft and best puck league, and Kane should be along for the ride at even-strength with his shoot-first mentality. Hyman is the sleeper here, as he's likely to get the net-front powerplay time along with McDavid, Draisaitl, and Nugent-Hopkins. Barrie was on that unit as well for the majority of last season, but loses nearly all of his fantasy value if Evan Bouchard takes his spot on the point as rumored.

2022-2023 PuckLuck Projections

PLAYER

POS

G

A

PTS

W

GA

SV

SO

Connor McDavid

F

45

74

119

Leon Draisaitl

F

55

57

112

Zach Hyman

F

37

40

77

Evander Kane

F

30

25

55

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

F

21

55

76

Jack Campbell

G

32

159

1469

4

Tyson Barrie

D

9

36

49


 


Betting Impact



PuckLuck Projection: 99 points

Floor: 82 points Ceiling: 109 points


Projection Data Confidence: 70%

(League Average: 70%)


PuckLuck Odds:

  • Stanley Cup: +800

  • President's Trophy: +950

  • Conference: +350

  • Division: +350

DraftKings Sportsbook Lines:

  • Stanley Cup: +1600

  • President's Trophy: +11000

  • Conference: +600

  • Division: +190

Edmonton has a lot of hype this season, but they're essentially returning the same team as last year with hopes that Campbell is an improvement over Mike Smith and Mikko Koskinen in net. On average, that is not likely enough to make the Oilers the division favorites as the sportsbook odds reflect. It's hard to bet against McDavid and Draisaitl, however, so if you think the supporting cast is good enough to make it their year it's hard to argue dropping a future or two.


Campbell's play will be the key to betting the Oilers on the daily. Overs seem to be the obvious choice, but if Campbell shows well, fading that and going with unders may provide the best value. The Oilers can also be potential upset candidates, as the betting public generally likes them as favorites and you may get some good value on their underdog opponents.


 


Season Outlook



Division Projection: 5th

Conference Projection: 7th

League Projection: 14th

Playoffs? Likely


The Pacific Division may sneak five teams into the playoffs, as we project the fringe teams to be a little stronger than the Central. The Oilers should jockey for position anywhere in the top five of the division, so despite the low division rank their playoff chances are pretty solid.


Will they be able to make a deep playoff run? Well, that will fall on the shoulders of their superstars. On talent alone, they always have a chance. Edmonton's scoring rates have been enough to cover up some of their other holes, and there's no reason to believe that can't happen again.


Will the Edmonton Oilers make the playoffs?

  • Yes

  • No





 


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