Preseason Projections
Comparing some of the top public NHL analytics sites and models
PACE
AVG
58
81
79.7
84.3
82.9
80.2
82.9
80
75.3
86.7
81.4
ANA
70
60
71.4
66.8
70.4
62.4
67.2
66
65.8
76.7
67.4
ARI
135
113
103.9
101.7
100.7
104
107.9
108
102.1
95.5
104.1
BOS
91
73
83.1
78.5
80.1
76.3
75.6
76
74.2
86.3
78.1
BUF
113
107
102.2
109.6
103.6
103.3
104.4
99
109.2
96
103.8
CAR
59
64
78.9
78.9
78.7
76.6
80.6
76
78.8
81.3
77.1
CBJ
90
102
99.3
109.7
106.2
107.6
109.3
104
108.2
93.6
104.4
CGY
59
69
58.8
69.8
74.1
74.4
63.5
62
72.4
81.2
69.5
CHI
109
121
107.2
108.1
107.2
106.3
110
105
118
95.8
108.7
COL
108
92
94.1
90.3
93.8
97.8
86.8
92
91.7
92
92.3
DAL
82
82
87.2
84.7
84.6
82.6
87.1
87
67.2
89
83.5
DET
109
99
100.3
105.5
98.4
101
104.3
97
104.5
94.6
100.5
EDM
92
103
109.2
103.8
106.7
106.4
108.2
108
107.7
97.1
105.6
FLA
104
100
93.5
96
92.5
92.6
93.4
86
87.5
95.6
93
LAK
103
98
105.2
100.1
102
105.5
103.6
100
103.7
96.1
101.6
MIN
68
78
74.1
72.8
72.6
73.8
69.8
70
71.7
82.6
73.9
MTL
112
75
91.5
87
97.4
90.4
96.5
93
72.7
88.3
88
NJD
92
98
97
94.7
98.1
96.3
97
96
91.2
93.6
95.8
NSH
93
90
88.3
88.6
91.3
89.1
83.6
102
94.4
92.2
91.1
NYI
107
116
91.1
100.5
92.1
95.4
92
103
106.5
94.4
99
NYR
86
77
91.2
87.4
85
87.8
88.9
89
81.6
89.8
86.4
OTT
75
72
69
76.4
79.4
76.5
76.2
70
67.1
81.5
74.2
PHI
91
103
89.4
100.3
100.3
99
92.9
98
103
96
98
PIT
100
84
92.8
87
84.3
87.2
94.7
85
71.7
84.4
85.7
SEA
60
64
81.4
78.7
76.3
76.9
72
82
74.1
87.4
77
SJS
81
90
95.4
95.8
93
92.2
89.2
93
107.1
88.3
93.8
STL
98
107
102.2
104
101
103.8
100.7
101
111.2
97.9
103.2
TBL
111
96
106.5
106.1
106.4
111.6
109.8
98
106.6
91
103.6
TOR
84
109
95.9
91.8
88.6
91.7
94.5
98
96.1
95.7
95.7
VAN
111
106
90
97.7
95.8
93.6
97.8
90
100.5
90.7
95.8
VGK
94
105
83.3
89.7
85.1
88.3
83.1
97
91.3
92.2
90.6
WPG
80
105
98.8
101.3
93.8
97.1
93.4
104
99.2
97.6
98.9
WSH
MAPE*
13.03%
12.20%
12.33%
12.25%
12.35%
11.31%
13.15%
14.44%
14.91%
RANK
6
2
4
3
5
1
7
8
9
MAD**
11.63
10.65
10.51
10.56
10.6
9.8
11.56
12.64
12.69
RANK
7
5
2
3
4
1
6
8
9
IQR***
20
17
16
21
20
17
24
23
21
RANK
5
3
1
7
4
2
9
8
6
* MAPE is the mean absolute percentage error that measures the percentage difference between a model's projection and the actual point pace
​
** MAD is the mean absolute deviation that measures the numerical difference between a model's projection and the actual point pace
​
*** IQR is the interquartile range that shows the variance of a model's projection and the actual point pace after removing any significant outliers (below the 25th percentile and above the 75th percentile)