
Preseason Projections
Comparing some of the top public NHL analytics sites and models
PACE
AVG

61
81
79.7
84.3
82.9
80.2
82.9
80
75.3
86.7
81.4
ANA

65
60
71.4
66.8
70.4
62.4
67.2
66
65.8
76.7
67.4
ARI

131
113
103.9
101.7
100.7
104
107.9
108
102.1
95.5
104.1
BOS

90
73
83.1
78.5
80.1
76.3
75.6
76
74.2
86.3
78.1
BUF

120
107
102.2
109.6
103.6
103.3
104.4
99
109.2
96
103.8
CAR

56
64
78.9
78.9
78.7
76.6
80.6
76
78.8
81.3
77.1
CBJ

93
102
99.3
109.7
106.2
107.6
109.3
104
108.2
93.6
104.4
CGY

59
69
58.8
69.8
74.1
74.4
63.5
62
72.4
81.2
69.5
CHI

96
121
107.2
108.1
107.2
106.3
110
105
118
95.8
108.7
COL

106
92
94.1
90.3
93.8
97.8
86.8
92
91.7
92
92.3
DAL

87
82
87.2
84.7
84.6
82.6
87.1
87
67.2
89
83.5
DET

99
99
100.3
105.5
98.4
101
104.3
97
104.5
94.6
100.5
EDM

86
103
109.2
103.8
106.7
106.4
108.2
108
107.7
97.1
105.6
FLA

99
100
93.5
96
92.5
92.6
93.4
86
87.5
95.6
93
LAK

95
98
105.2
100.1
102
105.5
103.6
100
103.7
96.1
101.6
MIN

74
78
74.1
72.8
72.6
73.8
69.8
70
71.7
82.6
73.9
MTL

115
75
91.5
87
97.4
90.4
96.5
93
72.7
88.3
88
NJD

92
98
97
94.7
98.1
96.3
97
96
91.2
93.6
95.8
NSH

88
90
88.3
88.6
91.3
89.1
83.6
102
94.4
92.2
91.1
NYI

108
116
91.1
100.5
92.1
95.4
92
103
106.5
94.4
99
NYR

82
77
91.2
87.4
85
87.8
88.9
89
81.6
89.8
86.4
OTT

81
72
69
76.4
79.4
76.5
76.2
70
67.1
81.5
74.2
PHI

96
103
89.4
100.3
100.3
99
92.9
98
103
96
98
PIT

101
84
92.8
87
84.3
87.2
94.7
85
71.7
84.4
85.7
SEA

68
64
81.4
78.7
76.3
76.9
72
82
74.1
87.4
77
SJS

80
90
95.4
95.8
93
92.2
89.2
93
107.1
88.3
93.8
STL

110
107
102.2
104
101
103.8
100.7
101
111.2
97.9
103.2
TBL

109
96
106.5
106.1
106.4
111.6
109.8
98
106.6
91
103.6
TOR

71
109
95.9
91.8
88.6
91.7
94.5
98
96.1
95.7
95.7
VAN

103
106
90
97.7
95.8
93.6
97.8
90
100.5
90.7
95.8
VGK

104
105
83.3
89.7
85.1
88.3
83.1
97
91.3
92.2
90.6
WPG

92
105
98.8
101.3
93.8
97.1
93.4
104
99.2
97.6
98.9
WSH
MAPE*
12.32%
12.69%
12.34%
12.32%
12.25%
12.16%
13.05%
14.63%
13.85%
RANK
4
6
5
3
2
1
7
9
8
MAD**
10.84
11.14
10.67
10.69
10.65
10.61
11.45
12.85
11.78
RANK
5
6
3
4
2
1
7
9
8
IQR***
15
20
17
19
19
16
23
23
21
RANK
1
6
3
4
5
2
9
8
7
* MAPE is the mean absolute percentage error that measures the percentage difference between a model's projection and the actual point pace
** MAD is the mean absolute deviation that measures the numerical difference between a model's projection and the actual point pace
*** IQR is the interquartile range that shows the variance of a model's projection and the actual point pace after removing any significant outliers (below the 25th percentile and above the 75th percentile)