Preseason Projections
Comparing some of the top public NHL analytics sites and models
PACE
AVG
61
81
79.7
84.3
82.9
80.2
82.9
80
75.3
86.7
81.4
ANA
65
60
71.4
66.8
70.4
62.4
67.2
66
65.8
76.7
67.4
ARI
131
113
103.9
101.7
100.7
104
107.9
108
102.1
95.5
104.1
BOS
90
73
83.1
78.5
80.1
76.3
75.6
76
74.2
86.3
78.1
BUF
120
107
102.2
109.6
103.6
103.3
104.4
99
109.2
96
103.8
CAR
56
64
78.9
78.9
78.7
76.6
80.6
76
78.8
81.3
77.1
CBJ
93
102
99.3
109.7
106.2
107.6
109.3
104
108.2
93.6
104.4
CGY
59
69
58.8
69.8
74.1
74.4
63.5
62
72.4
81.2
69.5
CHI
96
121
107.2
108.1
107.2
106.3
110
105
118
95.8
108.7
COL
106
92
94.1
90.3
93.8
97.8
86.8
92
91.7
92
92.3
DAL
87
82
87.2
84.7
84.6
82.6
87.1
87
67.2
89
83.5
DET
99
99
100.3
105.5
98.4
101
104.3
97
104.5
94.6
100.5
EDM
86
103
109.2
103.8
106.7
106.4
108.2
108
107.7
97.1
105.6
FLA
99
100
93.5
96
92.5
92.6
93.4
86
87.5
95.6
93
LAK
95
98
105.2
100.1
102
105.5
103.6
100
103.7
96.1
101.6
MIN
74
78
74.1
72.8
72.6
73.8
69.8
70
71.7
82.6
73.9
MTL
115
75
91.5
87
97.4
90.4
96.5
93
72.7
88.3
88
NJD
92
98
97
94.7
98.1
96.3
97
96
91.2
93.6
95.8
NSH
88
90
88.3
88.6
91.3
89.1
83.6
102
94.4
92.2
91.1
NYI
108
116
91.1
100.5
92.1
95.4
92
103
106.5
94.4
99
NYR
82
77
91.2
87.4
85
87.8
88.9
89
81.6
89.8
86.4
OTT
81
72
69
76.4
79.4
76.5
76.2
70
67.1
81.5
74.2
PHI
96
103
89.4
100.3
100.3
99
92.9
98
103
96
98
PIT
101
84
92.8
87
84.3
87.2
94.7
85
71.7
84.4
85.7
SEA
68
64
81.4
78.7
76.3
76.9
72
82
74.1
87.4
77
SJS
80
90
95.4
95.8
93
92.2
89.2
93
107.1
88.3
93.8
STL
110
107
102.2
104
101
103.8
100.7
101
111.2
97.9
103.2
TBL
109
96
106.5
106.1
106.4
111.6
109.8
98
106.6
91
103.6
TOR
71
109
95.9
91.8
88.6
91.7
94.5
98
96.1
95.7
95.7
VAN
103
106
90
97.7
95.8
93.6
97.8
90
100.5
90.7
95.8
VGK
104
105
83.3
89.7
85.1
88.3
83.1
97
91.3
92.2
90.6
WPG
92
105
98.8
101.3
93.8
97.1
93.4
104
99.2
97.6
98.9
WSH
MAPE*
12.32%
12.69%
12.34%
12.32%
12.25%
12.16%
13.05%
14.63%
13.85%
RANK
4
6
5
3
2
1
7
9
8
MAD**
10.84
11.14
10.67
10.69
10.65
10.61
11.45
12.85
11.78
RANK
5
6
3
4
2
1
7
9
8
IQR***
15
20
17
19
19
16
23
23
21
RANK
1
6
3
4
5
2
9
8
7
* MAPE is the mean absolute percentage error that measures the percentage difference between a model's projection and the actual point pace
** MAD is the mean absolute deviation that measures the numerical difference between a model's projection and the actual point pace
*** IQR is the interquartile range that shows the variance of a model's projection and the actual point pace after removing any significant outliers (below the 25th percentile and above the 75th percentile)